Thursday, November 15, 2012

Biggest scientist ever - Medicaldb Review


When we speak about transhumanism and futurism, we can’t ignore the involvment of Ray Kurzweil, one of the main engines for transhumanism and future science.
Raymond “Ray” Kurzweil is involved in fields such as optical character recognition (OCR), text-to-speech synthesis, speech recognition technology, and electronic keyboard instruments. He is the author of several books on health, artificial intelligence (AI), transhumanism, the technological singularity, and futurism.
The Wall Street Journal called him “the restless genius.”
Forbes said he was “the ultimate thinking machine.” .
Inc. Magazine proclaimed him the “rightful heir to Thomas Edison.”
Hes biography is really impressing and hes achievements are implemented in our everyday life.
In this article we are going to talk about Ray’s predictions.
Are Ray Kurzweil’s predictions achievable? (All the transhumanists will say YES!)
Ray predicted that a computer would beat a man at chess, that technologies that help spread information would accelerate the collapse of the Soviet Union, and that a worldwide communications network would emerge in the mid 1990s (i.e. the Internet).

The law of accelerating returns

Most of Kurzweil’s prognostications are derived from his law of accelerating returns — the idea that information technologies progress exponentially, in part because each iteration is used to help build the next, better, faster, cheaper one. In the case of computers, this is not just a theory but an observable trend — computer processing power has doubled every two years for nearly half a century.
(you can find more on this article The Law of accelerating returns. It is very explicit and science proven)

Solar energy

Kurzweil also believes this theory can be applied to solar energy. As part of a panel convened by the National Association of Engineers, Kurzweil, together with Google co-founder Larry Page, concluded that solar energy technology is improving at such a rate that it will soon be able to compete with fossil fuels.
A dialog between Lauren Feeney and Ray Kurzweil about climate changes
Feeney: A lot of climate scientists say that we have about 10 years to turn the situation around, otherwise we’re going to hit this tipping point and we are all doomed. So you think we’re going to make it?
Kurzweil: Even if those timelines were correct, there will be quite a transformation within 10 years and certainly within 15 or 20 years. The bulk of our energy will be coming from these renewable sources. So, I think we have plenty of time. I think we can make it to the point where these renewables are taking over. And I think there are reasons besides climate change to move away from fossil fuels — that whole oil spill, remember that, that’s not climate change, that’s just pollution. But I don’t see a disaster happening before we can get there because it is pretty soon at hand.

Read more on Transhuman Medicine

1 comment:

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